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AAIC 2023 | Time gap between amyloid- and tau-PET positivity in preclinical disease

Alexis Moscoso, PhD, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden, shares an overview of his work looking into the time interval between amyloid- and tau-PET positivity in Alzheimer’s disease. In the preclinical stage of disease, individuals will undergo a transition from amyloid (A)-positive, tau (T)-negative, to A+T+. This change to full AD neuropathology is associated with a substantial risk of clinical progression. To better understand the clinical relevance of the A+T- stage, Dr Moscoso used longitudinal amyloid- and tau-PET data to estimate the time gap between amyloid- and tau-positivity, and the factors that influenced this gap. While highly variable across individuals, the estimated time gap was 9 years. The presence of cognitive impairment was found to accelerate the onset of tau positivity (median tau-free survival difference ~6 years). These data have implications for Alzheimer’s disease prevention trials, as they suggest that a substantial proportion of A+T- cognitively unimpaired older individuals will not develop tau pathology and subsequent symptoms in their lifetime. Therefore, it is important to select A+T+ individuals for prevention trials as they are the most likely to benefit from disease-modifying therapies. This interview took place at the Alzheimer’s Association International Conference® (AAIC) 2023 in Amsterdam, Netherlands.

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Transcript (edited for clarity)

This was basically a longitudinal study in which we applied some mathematical modeling to estimate the time between the two hallmarks in Alzheimer’s disease, which is the presence of amyloid pathology and then the presence of advanced tau pathology. So we measured this with PET, which is the only biomarker modality in which we can directly measure the presence of amyloid pathology and the presence of neurofibrillary tangles, the presence of tau pathology, and we estimated this time gap...

This was basically a longitudinal study in which we applied some mathematical modeling to estimate the time between the two hallmarks in Alzheimer’s disease, which is the presence of amyloid pathology and then the presence of advanced tau pathology. So we measured this with PET, which is the only biomarker modality in which we can directly measure the presence of amyloid pathology and the presence of neurofibrillary tangles, the presence of tau pathology, and we estimated this time gap. It’s about nine years between once you enter the Alzheimer’s continuum, once you become amyloid positive, the median survival time without tau pathology is about nine years. So we also analyzed the potential implications for Alzheimer’s disease prevention trials, trials testing therapies at the prevention stage, therapies applied when you have no cognitive symptoms at all and we basically found something quite interesting, which is that after 77 years of age, the majority of participants who are amyloid-positive but tau-negative, that is, they are in the Alzheimer’s continuum, but they don’t have a complete biomarker profile consistent with Alzheimer’s disease, the majority of these individuals, will never develop a tau positivity, which is which is necessary to develop cognitive symptoms due to Alzheimer’s disease. So, yeah, that was our main conclusion. We might need to select appropriate candidates, not only identified those candidates who are amyloid-positive, but we probably need to select those candidates who are also tau-positive, right? So that was the main message of our study. We need to provide a more fine-grained staging of progression based on biomarkers and in particular on tau-PET.

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